Sunday Afternoon Forecast

Forecast Issued by Randy Bowers on 03/26/2006 at 3:41:00 pm CT

Mobile, Alabama 5 Day Forecast
Tonight	Tomorrow	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday
	71°F	75°F	77°F	76°F
39°F		49°F	57°F	61°F
Var 5-10 mph	SE 5-10 mph	S 5-10 mph	S 5-10 mph	S 10-15 mph
0%	0%	0%	20%	40%

Detailed Forecast

Tonight… Clear. Low 39. Winds Northeast at 5 mph shifting to the southeast. Tomorrow... Mostly sunny. High around 71. Winds southeast 5-10 mph. Monday Night... Mostly clear. Low around 49. Winds south 5-10 mph. Tuesday... Partly cloudy. High around 75. Winds south 5-10 mph. Tuesday Night... Partly cloudy. Low around 57. Winds south 5-10 mph. Wednesday... Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. High around 77. Winds south 5-10 mph. Chance of rain is 20 percent. Wednesday Night... Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Low around 61. Winds south 5-10 mph. Chance of rain is 40 percent. Thursday... Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. High around 76. Winds south 10-15 mph. Chance of rain is 40 percent. Thursday Night... Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Low around 63. Winds south 10-15 mph. Chance of rain is 20 percent.

Technical Discussion

Forecast Discussion (Sunday through Thursday): After a low of 36 at KMOB and 41 at KBFM, temperatures have warmed quickly into the 60s under full sun. One more unseasonably cool night before southerly flow commences during the next 24 hours. Surface ridge axis expected to pass overnight with very light winds gradually shifting to the southeast just after midnight. Until then, temperatures should again fall quickly under clear skies and with light winds –likely leveling off once winds shift around to the south. Will follow MOS for overnight lows which are generally AOA one-three degrees warmer than previous overnight low temperatures. As surface high pressure shifts east, a weak shortwave will pass just north of our area on Tuesday with little consequence on our weather. Following this initial wave, a series of ill-defined and difficult to time perturbations in westerly upper flow will traverse the area. The most distinguishable one impacts the area late Wednesday night/early Thursday. Both DGEX and GFS enhance QPF invof this wave. A much more powerful system approaches late in the week and should reach the area over the weekend per consensus between the medium range models. Current forecast in fine shape and have only made minor adjustments based on new 12z run.

Hazardous Weather

No hazardous weather is expected through the forecast period.